Joe Biden maintains 8-point lead over Donald Trump in new poll – with those planning to vote by mail backing the former VP three-to-one

  • Biden leads Trump 51 to 43 the new poll
  • Almost 90 per cent of voters have made up their minds
  • Biden leads among mail-in voters three-to-one
  • More than 50 per cent disapprove of President Trump 

Former Vice President Joe Biden holds an eight-point lead over President Donald Trump in a new poll that has the president’s approval rating underwater and Biden running up a huge lead among mail-in voters.

Biden leads Trump 51 percent to 43 percent in the latest NBC / Wall Street Journal poll. 

The lead is basically unchanged from last month, when Biden’s lead in the poll was 50 to 41 per cent – amid ongoing protests over the death of George Floyd and Trump’s call for ‘law and order’ after property destruction in cities. 

Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump 50 to 41 per cent in a new NBC / Wall Street Journal poll

Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump 50 to 41 per cent in a new NBC / Wall Street Journal poll

More than 50 per cent disapprove of President Trump, a troubling sign for the incumbent, who has amped up his attacks on rival in the preceding weeks, claiming he would be captive to ‘anarchists’ and ‘socialists.’ 

‘So far, despite major upheavals in the country, little has changed,’ said Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt, who helped conduct the poll.

There are stark divisions in the poll based on how people intend to vote. 

A plurality of 42 per cent plan to vote in person election day, with just short of a third, 32 percent, planning to vote early in person on election day and 21 per cent planning to vote early in person.

More than 50 per cent disapprove of President Trump in the new poll

More than 50 per cent disapprove of President Trump in the new poll

A very long line of voters wait to cast their ballots at the Fairfax County Government Center for the November presidential election on first day of early voting in Virginia in Fairfax, VA on September 18, 2020

A very long line of voters wait to cast their ballots at the Fairfax County Government Center for the November presidential election on first day of early voting in Virginia in Fairfax, VA on September 18, 2020

When broken down by preference, mail-in voters back Biden 74 per cent to 20 per cent for Trump. Trump has regularly attacked mail-in voting, as he did Sunday.

Those who plan to vote in person on Election day back Trump 62 to 32 per cent, and those who plan to vote early in person back Biden 58 to 39 per cent.

Those numbers set up a scenario where votes that come in first on Election Day show Trump performing well, only to have his lead undercut by a steady stream of mail-in ballots that Trump has already attacked as rife with fraud.  

Almost 90 per cent of voters have made up their minds, even as candidates head into presidential debates starting later this month.

The poll was taken before the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, a development with the potential to galvanize members of both parties. 

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